Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2.142072 2.569218 3.048664 3.625078 4.297569 5.055601 5.972938
2025-12-14 1.503609 2.035843 2.698592 3.577958 4.706684 6.098650 7.935927
2025-12-21 1.130186 1.694185 2.459606 3.559939 5.083895 7.100032 9.944724
2025-12-28 0.949495 1.550254 2.425938 3.769935 5.748666 8.516133 12.629796
2026-01-04 0.792222 1.397742 2.338893 3.869651 6.247040 9.735608 15.157192
2026-01-11 0.686578 1.298858 2.306578 4.031532 6.838026 11.130040 18.058395
2026-01-18 0.575654 1.165500 2.191427 4.035272 7.169773 12.152214 20.483224
2026-01-25 0.466344 1.010478 2.010154 3.894772 7.237929 12.753088 22.289732
2026-02-01 0.379028 0.877434 1.842844 3.747957 7.266443 13.276651 23.999489
2026-02-08 0.324475 0.798043 1.760494 3.739445 7.527922 14.201739 26.440046
2026-02-15 0.280883 0.732334 1.692952 3.746536 7.812729 15.184440 29.051012
2026-02-22 0.239937 0.663360 1.606574 3.702059 7.990727 15.986262 31.401560
2026-03-01 0.193748 0.572104 1.459022 3.514866 7.877349 16.261229 32.861065
2026-03-08 0.165864 0.520056 1.389495 3.482904 8.070097 17.125076 35.476875
2026-03-15 0.143422 0.476816 1.332555 3.469559 8.297782 18.073211 38.325261
2026-03-22 0.135593 0.472728 1.369744 3.676144 9.015260 20.043601 43.289406
2026-03-29 0.123177 0.452075 1.361606 3.774062 9.504324 21.592981 47.540023
2026-04-05 0.114693 0.441441 1.377670 3.932491 10.144399 23.501294 52.642089
2026-04-12 0.101115 0.410796 1.334374 3.936190 10.429189 24.688504 56.363529
2026-04-19 0.084659 0.365567 1.241737 3.798811 10.366027 25.126403 58.565942
2026-04-26 0.070594 0.324313 1.152213 3.655259 10.269414 25.478894 60.607950
2026-05-03 0.062207 0.301687 1.114305 3.646938 10.504177 26.582022 64.329201
2026-05-10 0.055244 0.282489 1.083435 3.653872 10.777697 27.792980 68.366844